Tip: 8 PM CST | TV: ESPN (HD) Nineteen days ago, Texas A&M was absolutely reeling, having lost three of four after a nearly pristine start to their season. Only a narrow win in Stillwater kept the Aggies from stumbling into a home date with rival Texas on an ugly four-game losing streak. But the first eight minutes of the game that night went completely in Texas A&M’s favor, and they obliterated the Longhorns for an easy 80-63 win. Since then, Texas has won five straight games, including Monday’s home upset of Kansas and road wins against OU and Baylor. And until Saturday’s fumble against Oklahoma State, the Aggies were just as hot, winning their next three after the dismantling of their rivals. The hot February for the top two teams in Texas has helped them separate from the pack in the Big 12, putting the Longhorns just a half-game out of first while the Aggies are hanging on to the coveted 4th-place spot in the conference — and the tournament bye that comes with it. Lost amidst the ugly start to the January 30th game is the fact that Texas A&M and Texas played a pretty even game from that point on. As I mentioned in the game preview of that match-up, A&M is a very turnover-prone team, and there was a stretch in the first half where they made unforced error after unforced error. In front of a rowdy Texas crowd, there’s a chance that the Ags could get even more rattled tonight and make more mistakes. Don’t forget — this Aggie team is only 3-3 on the road, with the three wins coming against the bottom half of the Big 12. As we look forward to tonight’s game, I feel that the biggest factor in the re-match will be the recent emergence of Gary Johnson. He is now a great offensive weapon in the paint, and the combo of Johnson and Connor Atchley in the hi-low game is really a treat to watch. When these two teams met at the end of January, the key post presence for the Longhorns was Dexter Pittman, while Johnson played only four ineffective minutes. With the addition of GJ’s offense and his work on the glass, the outlook for Texas is much rosier this time around. A huge problem that teams face when playing Texas A&M is the pick-your-poison defensive quandary that their inside-out attack gives opponents. While a lot of Baylor’s ineffectiveness from behind the arc on Saturday was a result of their shooters going cold, the Texas three-point defense has improved tremendously over the last few weeks. If the Longhorns can shut down Dominique Kirk and Josh Carter — who was 4-of-7 behind the arc in College Station — it will make things a lot easier for the defense inside. I linked it once earlier in this game preview, but take the time to go back and check out the preview I wrote of the first Texas/Texas A&M game to get an in-depth look at the Aggie squad and their style of play. Tonight is certainly going to be a hard-fought game, but Ken Pomeroy is predicting a three-point Longhorn victory, while Vegas likes Texas by 4.5 points. Tonight’s game is sold out, so if you’re without a ticket you can tune in to ESPN or ESPNHD for the action or plop down $12 to watch it on the big screen in selected theatres throughout Texas (Plug in your zip code here to look for cinemas in your area.) See the rest of you at the Drum tonight. |
