TEAM W L FINAL THREE GAMES
Texas 12 1 at CU (2/26), vs. KSU (2/28), at BU (3/5)
Kansas 11 2 at OU (2/26), vs. A&M (3/2), at Mizzou (3/5)
Texas A&M 9 4 at BU (2/26), at KU (3/2), vs. TTU (3/5)
Missouri 8 5 at KSU (2/26), at Neb (3/1), vs. KU (3/5)
Kansas State 7 6 vs. Mizzou (2/26), at UT (2/28), vs. ISU (3/5)
Baylor 6 7 vs. A&M (2/26), at OSU (3/1), vs. UT (3/5)
Nebraska 6 7 at ISU (2/26), vs. Mizzou (3/1), at CU (3/5)
Colorado 6 7 vs. UT (2/26), at ISU (3/2), vs. Neb (3/5)
Oklahoma 4 9 vs. KU (2/26), at TTU (3/2), vs. OSU (3/5)
Oklahoma State 4 9 vs. TTU (2/26), vs. BU (3/1), at OU (3/5)
Texas Tech 4 9 at OSU (2/26), vs. OU (3/2), at A&M (3/5)
Iowa State 1 12 vs. Neb (2/26), vs. CU (3/2), at KSU (3/5)

The big picture

With the top of the league beating up on the bottom while the middle of the pack squared off, the mid-week games in the Big 12 served only to split the league into three distinct factions. With mid-week wins, Kansas and Texas A&M joined the Longhorns as teams with conference tournament byes already clinched. The Jayhawks are thinking much bigger, however, as their six-year streak of Big 12 titles could be in jeopardy. With only three games left, Kansas needs the Longhorns to falter at least once to give them any hope of winning the conference.

In the middle of the pack, things are still a bit murky. Kansas State made a strong move by beating Nebraska on the road, and now sits all alone in fifth place. Just a game behind fourth-place Missouri, the Wildcats still have a shot at a tournament bye, and get a crack at the Tigers on Saturday afternoon. At 6-7, Nebraska, Baylor, and Colorado are locked in a three-way tie for sixth and are also all jostling for position as the Big 12 looks to earn a sixth bid for the NCAA tournament. While none of the schools have exceptional profiles, a run during the final three league games could certainly punch the NCAA ticket for one of them.

At the bottom of the standings, Iowa State’s lopsided loss in Austin has assured that the Cyclones will be the conference’s No. 12 seed in Kansas City. Even if Iowa State were to win out, they could only tie with a team that had already beaten them. With a lost tiebreaker as the team’s best-case scenario, Fred Hoiberg and the ‘Clones can already make plans to be at the Sprint Center at 2 P.M. on March 9th.

This weekend’s games

Missouri at Kansas State; Saturday, 11:00 A.M. CT (ESPN)
Saturday’s biggest game in the Big 12 serves as a nice appetizer for a great day of college basketball across the country. While the rest of the nation will have its marquee matchups later in the day, this A.M. battle marks one of Kansas State’s final two attempts to notch a big win heading into Selection Sunday. K-State has been on a tear in recent weeks, winning five of six, with the lone loss coming by mere milliseconds to Colorado in Boulder.

Not to be outdone, Missouri has put together their own four-game winning streak as they head down the stretch. The Tigers have had major issues on the road, however. Mizzou finally won their first conference road game in six tries by beating Iowa State in Ames last Saturday. Unfortunately for Coach Mike Anderson and the Tigers, Bramlage Coliseum has become a much tougher venue to win in than Hilton Coliseum, and the Wildcats are far better than the Cyclones.

In addition to the NCAA implications, this one is also big in terms of Big 12 Tournament seeding. If Missouri can knock off K-State, the Tigers will have clinched at least a tie for the last of the league’s four first-round byes. By virtue of sweeping the Wildcats and moving two games ahead of them in the standings with two games to play, Missouri would also assure that K-State could only finish fourth if a multi-team tie cropped up at the end of the season. If K-State defends home court, however, it forces the teams into a tie for fourth heading into the final week.

We hope you took notes. There will be an exam on Monday.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State; Saturday, 12:30 P.M. CT (ESPN Full Court/ESPN3.com)
Two teams with very little to play for will square off in Stillwater on Saturday afternoon. For Texas Tech, the chance to earn another road win is a welcome one. The Red Raiders shocked the league by beating Baylor in Waco last Saturday, but were edged out by Colorado in Lubbock on Wednesday night.

Senior John Roberson was particularly disgusted by the lack of fan support at United Spirit Arena. “I haven’t complained in four years, but the crowd was awful. We didn’t have anybody here cheering us,” Roberson said. “That’s ridiculous for this to be a winnable game and for us to be playing another Big 12 school and for nobody to show up.”

While there’s not much at stake in this one, it’s bound to be an exciting game. The two teams went to overtime in Lubbock four weeks ago, while both teams will be desperate for a win just to stop the bleeding. The Cowboys have lost four straight, while Tech’s win over Baylor was their lone victory in six February games.

Nebraska at Iowa State; Saturday, 12:45 P.M. CT (ESPN Full Court/ESPN3.com)
The Cornhuskers made a big move on the bubble by knocking off Texas last Saturday, and then immediately took two steps back by failing to execute in the final minutes against K-State on Wednesday night. Nebraska’s computer numbers are ugly, but the strength of that win over Texas and another over Texas A&M has Doc Sadler’s team still on the cusp of their first NCAA bid in 13 years. ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has them as one of the “Next Four Out” of his February 25th projections, so the Huskers essentially need to win out in the regular season to stay in the discussion. Nebraska is just 1-5 on the road so far in conference play, with the lone win coming in Norman last Wednesday. The Huskers must overcome those road woes to claim this winnable game at Hilton Coliseum.

Texas at Colorado; Saturday, 3:00 P.M. CT (ESPN Full Court/ESPN3.com)
A full preview of the Texas/Colorado game will be available on Saturday morning.

Kansas at Oklahoma; Saturday, 3:00 P.M. CT (ESPN)
There’s not much to say about this one. Kansas has been playing incredible basketball as of late, while Oklahoma has exceeded expectations by winning four conference games this year. While Roberson and Tech have their own fan issues at United Spirit Arena, the Lloyd Noble Center has been just as bad this year. Even with the big draw of Kansas, expect a mostly-empty, mostly-blue arena on Saturday afternoon as the Jayhawks easily take care of business and stay in the hunt for another Big 12 title.

Texas A&M at Baylor; Saturday, 8:00 P.M. CT (ESPNU)
The Battle on the Brazos has become quite the basketball rivalry in recent years. From the five-overtime thriller to the near-brawl in Waco in 2009, tensions are always high when the Aggies and Bears meet on the hardwood. Like Nebraska, Baylor is located in the “Next Four Out” category of Lunardi’s latest Bracketology. So far, Baylor’s résumé consists of a lot of non-conference fluff and a road win over A&M. While the Bears can add another quality win by beating the Aggies once more in Waco, they’ll still need some help down the stretch to get in. Lose this one, and the Bear Pit can start thinking about how to intimidate NIT opponents.