For the second time in as many years, the Texas Longhorns and Pitt Panthers meet in an early-season tournament championship. But for fans of both programs, tonight’s matchup will look very different from the 78-62 Texas win in last year’s CBE Classic at Kansas City.

In that one, the Panthers were crippled by injuries and academic issues, while the Longhorns used four players who have since graduated or left for the NBA. Meanwhile, the Panthers have healed and added another year of experience. In short, the tables have definitely turned.

Pittsburgh now boasts an incredibly deep and talented roster, even if most of their players aren’t household names outside of the Big East. The Panthers have always dealt with the underdog label, despite being one of the most successful teams of the decade. Tonight, however, they come in with a top-five ranking and high expectations for success in March and April.

By the numbers

As with every Jamie Dixon-coached team, this year’s Panther squad is well-disciplined, defensively-suffocating, and highly efficient. On paper, there’s very few games that they should ever lose.

The Pitt brand of basketball has long been slow-down basketball, and through the first four games of the 2010-11 season, that trend has continued. The team’s 66.8 possessions per game is ranked 239th-fastest in the nation — or 107th-slowest, if you’re a glass-half-empty kind of fan. It will certainly be a contrast in styles tonight, as the Longhorns are clipping along at the 19th-fastest pace in NCAA hoops, with 71.7 possessions per game.

As usual, the strength of the Panther offense is on the glass. They are cleaning up more than half of their offensive rebounding opportunities, which makes them nearly unstoppable when combined with a 53.4% effective field-goal percentage. They are fairly steady with the ball, turning it over just 13 times per game, which equates to only 18% of their possessions.

Despite shooting just 3-of-10 from behind the arc in last night’s win over Maryland, the Panthers are loaded with long-range threats. Junior guard Ashton Gibbs led the Big East in three-point percentage two seasons ago, and has made more than 48% of his long-range attempts so far this year.

Meet the Panthers

Pitt’s team is loaded with overachieving role players that any coach would kill to have on his roster. They run eight or nine deep on any given night, and their team mentality shows in every aspect of the game. On offense, quick, crisp ball movement leads to open looks and tons of assists. On defense, most players can adequately guard any position, allowing the Panthers to constantly switch on screens.

The aforementioned Gibbs is a very difficult matchup for any opponent, as he is the true definition of a combo guard. When he’s not knocking down threes, he can sink it from anywhere on the court or dish out a quick assist to the rest of his talented team. In the summer of 2009, Gibbs worked his way up to a starting role on the U-19 national team coached by Dixon, and won a gold medal in the process.

Tiny Travon Woodall joins Gibbs in the backcourt, and as his 9.5 points per game attest, his height doesn’t hold him back. Just 5’11”, Woodall is lightning-quick and constantly causes defenses to have to rotate and help when he zips past his man. While he’s yet to start a game this season, this sixth man is averaging more than 24 minutes per game and has logged 15 assists.

Brad Wanamaker is one of three starting seniors, and he contributes in every way. He’s yet another lockdown defender for Coach Dixon, and his 17 points per game come from a variety of positions. Wanamaker can comfortably play as the off-guard or the small forward, and his versatility allows the team to throw out many different lineup combinations.

In the middle, Gary McGhee is another senior leader for the Panthers, although he isn’t going to wow you on offense. He cleans up misses and puts in the easy ones, chipping in just four points per game. McGhee is a big body that makes it difficult for opponents to score inside, and he constantly cleans up the defensive glass to limit the other team to one-and-done possessions. In last year’s meeting in Kansas City, the big man logged a double-double against the Horns with 11 points and 10 boards.

The third senior in Dixon’s starting five is Gilbert Brown, a fifth-year man who was academically ineligible when these teams met last year. This summer, he led the team in scoring during their overseas trip to Ireland, and is averaging nearly 10 points a game so far this season. Brown is yet another offensive threat for the Panthers that can explode at any moment, as evidenced by the three times he posted 20-plus points last year.

At power forward, Nigerian-born redshirt freshman Talib Zanna is making a quick impact. He was the star of last night’s game, leading Pitt with both 14 points and 11 boards. He only has four blocks in four games, but he has the length and reputation of a serious post defender. Like Texas big man Alexis Wangmene, he was discovered as a part of the NBA’s Basketball Without Borders program. He also speaks five languages, which means he’ll likely be Dick Vitale’s most-loved linguistic topic since Sydmill Harris.

The deep Panther bench is loaded with talent, and these athletic reserves will likely make a big difference in tonight’s game. While Texas often uses Wangmene, Jai Lucas, and Matt Hill to give the starters a blow, the Panthers can continue attacking when they go to the bench.

In addition to Woodall, the Panthers can also count on quality performances from Dante Taylor, Lamar Patterson, and Nasir Robinson. Taylor is Pitt’s first McDonald’s All-American in the Jamie Dixon era, and he’s primed for a breakout season. He spent much of his freshman year as a role player, but is leading the team in blocks despite playing just 15 minutes a game. He’s also one of Pitt’s top rebounders, grabbing 6.5 per contest.

Patterson is an athletic small forward who hopes to make a splash after playing just 10 games last year before suffering a season-ending injury. He sees just over 17 minutes per game off the bench, and contributes a quiet 4.8 points and three rebounds a night.

Robinson, meanwhile, missed the first three games of the year before making his debut against Maryland. Despite being just 6’5″, he knows how to work inside and will grind out a few points every game. He’s yet another solid defensive player for Dixon and the Panthers, as the Longhorns will discover in just a few hours.

Keys to the game

As always, the number one key when facing the Panthers is to attack the defensive glass. Pitt doesn’t miss that many shots, so the Longhorns simply cannot allow the Panthers to continue their trend of reclaiming more than half of their misses. If Texas can hold Pitt to one-and-done possessions, they have a chance to escape with the tournament title.

Against a physical team, there’s always the danger of picking up a ton of fouls. For a very thin Texas team, they absolutely must avoid foul trouble. Wangmene and Hill have given nice chunks of minutes against the likes of Louisiana Tech and Navy, but Texas will struggle if that pair has to play 20-plus minutes each against a very talented Pittsburgh frontcourt.

Additionally, the Longhorns have found lots of easy points this year by forcing mistakes. Texas must pressure the Panther ballhandlers and look for fast break buckets. Gibbs is a talented scorer, but he’s had problems in the past with coughing it up. He seems to have settled down this year, with just under three turnovers per game, but perhaps a high-pressure approach from the Horns can give him the yips.

If Texas can force some Panther mistakes, they can also likely dictate the tempo. While it’s certainly easier to impose your will as a slower team, in past years the Longhorns have been able to make some perennially-slow opponents pick up the pace. Yes, it’s a gamble to push the pace with a short bench, and Texas is probably tired after playing an overtime game that ended just 19 hours before this one tips. But it’s much easier to win when you are playing to your own strengths, so the Longhorns should throw caution to the wind and turn this into a track meet.

As with last night’s game, the start time for tonight’s championship is going to be impacted by the consolation game that precedes it. There is typically a 20-minute window between games, so look for this one to start no earlier than 6:20 back in Texas.

After last season’s monumental meltdown, Texas fans were treated to a new-look Longhorn squad last week as they opened the year with a pair of easy victories in the 2KSports Classic. The Texas offense moved more freely, Jordan Hamilton seemed to be a completely different player, and the defense suffocated its first two opponents to the tune of a 34.3% effective field goal percentage.

Skepticism could still be found in all corners of the Burnt Orange Nation, and with good reason. After all, last year’s team looked unstoppable as it marched to a 17-0 start. But this week’s hot internet topic is the fabulous breakdown of the Texas coaching clinic by Scipio Tex of Barking Carnival, and it has some fans drinking the Kool-Aid once more.

In Scipio’s breakdown, we learned of Rick Barnes’ off-season dedication to overcoming his coaching shortcomings, namely by developing a coherent offensive attack. When pieced together with what we saw on the court last week, it all makes sense. What Barnes and Co. claim to have worked on has already translated to game-time action. But, fans are also well-aware of the glaring deficiencies this team has, and are also well aware of the fact that neither Navy nor Louisiana Tech could exploit those weaknesses.

Tonight, Texas will finally be pushed by a quality opponent in the Illinois Fighting Illini. Not only is Bruce Weber’s team much more talented than the aforementioned 2KSports whipping boys, but they are also the first challenge for a thin, undersized Texas frontcourt. The Longhorns certainly have the athletes to hang with the Illini — Vegas currently has the Horns as 3.5-point underdogs — but will they have the grit to pull off a tough upset?

By the numbers

While Illinois’ average tempo of 69.4 possessions per game is just 82nd in the country, there’s no doubt that they have the most success when pressuring opponents into mistakes. The Fighting Illini are forcing just over 18 turnovers per game, which equates to more than 21% of their opponents’ possessions.

Offensively, the Illini have been tough to stop. Their 59.7% effective field-goal percentage (a statistic giving added weight to 3-point buckets) ranks 25th nationally, while their eye-popping 63.2% success rate inside the arc puts them 13th in the country.

Statistically, the two offensive weaknesses for Illinois are found inside. They fail to attack the rim enough to earn many free throw attempts, getting to the line just 26.7% of the time they shoot the ball. When Illinois misses shots, they also are failing to grab a significant number of offensive boards. With just 29.8% of their offensive rebounding opportunities being capitalized upon, the Fighting Illini rank 214th nationally. Against a much-smaller Texas team, look for those numbers to improve tonight.

Meet the Illini

The Illinois team lives and dies with senior point guard Demetri McCamey. At 6’3″, 200 lbs., he’s a strong, stocky guard with prescient court vision. In a game against Purdue last season, McCamey dished out 16 assists, and this year is averaging eight per game through the first three contests. He’s quick enough to get to the rim, strong enough to finish there, and even has enough self-control to log a few assists each night after he’s already left his feet with the basketball. While Demetri is certainly one of the best point guards in the country this season, he’s also a quality scorer that leads his team with 14.7 points per contest.

Joining McCamey in the backcourt is sharpshooter D.J. Richardson. The 6’3″ guard was a teammate of Avery Bradley and Cory Joseph at Findlay Prep, and as both Longhorns are well-aware, he needs only inches of space to get off a quick three-pointer. After a season in which he was named the Big 10’s Freshman of the Year, Richardson has started off on the right foot, knocking down 46% of his long-range attempts in the first three games this year. When D.J. isn’t dropping long-range bombs, he can also be counted on to lock down the perimeter, where he is arguably the team’s best defender.

At forward, senior Mike Davis is making a big impact this season. He’s been a rebounding machine, snagging nearly a fifth of the team’s boards so far. Davis bulked up in the offseason in the hopes of being more physical in the tough Big 10 Conference, which could make him a difficult matchup for the Longhorns. Freshman Tristan Thompson and the platoon of Matt Hill and Alexis Wangmene will have to contend with this bruising style of play and keep Davis off the glass.

A constant double-double threat, Davis is averaging more than 12 points per game. But while he’s a great rebounder and a quality post defender, his favorite way to score is with the midrange jumper. Thompson and Gary Johnson are serviceable defenders away from the rim, but Hill and Wangmene often have difficulty when their defensive assignments pull them away from the paint. It will be interesting to see how the Texas frontcourt handles Davis on the defensive end.

The other Illini starting forward is Bill Cole, a scrappy player who earns praise from the coaches for his hustle. He’s not going to fill up the stat sheet — Cole is averaging just 3.7 points and 3.3 boards per game — but he’ll often be found diving to the floor for loose balls or setting screens to open up the Illinois scorers.

In the middle, Coach Weber relies on 7-foot, 1-inch Mike Tisdale. He can score at will, but was often criticized last season for incredibly weak defense. This year, he’s still not going to win any All-Conference honors for his work on D, but his length has an undeniable effect down low. Tisdale’s averaging 9.3 points and a team-leading 7.7 boards per game, while blocking more than two shots per game. Like Davis, Tisdale can knock it down in the midrange, and will again cause matchup issues for the Horns.

If having the 7’1″ Tisdale wasn’t enough for Weber and the Illini, freshman Meyers Leonard also checks in at 7-feet. He’s still a raw talent, but all high school scouts have been drooling over just how much raw talent he posseses. Leonard is only playing about 17 minutes a game off the bench, yet still averages four rebounds and more than five points per contest. For a Texas team that will likely struggle in the paint tonight, having a second giant on the bench is just one more edge for Illinois.

The Illini essentially run nine deep, with Brandon Paul being the busiest reserve. He’s playing more than 19 minutes a game, and is still the team’s third-leading scorer despite coming off the bench. He’s undoubtedly an explosive scorer that can change the fabric of any game, but his questionable decision-making is the thing holding him back. So far this season, the sophomore seems to be making better choices with the basketball. Texas has to hope, however, that they can pressure him into a few mistakes.

Also coming off the bench is freshman Jereme Richardson, who is making a quick impact. He’s the most-heralded recruit to arrive at Champaign-Urbana in years, and it’s likely just a matter of time until he usurps Cole for the starting role. He has incredible handles for a 6’7″ kid, leading to the inevitable “point-forward” label. His length enables him to grab a lot of rebounds when he’s not in the ideal position, and he should log his fair share of boards against Texas.

The final contributor for the Illini is forward Tyler Griffey, a sophomore in the mold of Cole. There’s only so many minutes on a team for the scrappy, “glue guy,” so for now Griffey’s impact is limited by Cole’s presence. In future seasons, he’ll likely slide right into that role. For now, though, he’s good for a few points a night.

Keys to the game

It’s a recurring theme throughout this game, and it will be a recurring theme throughout the season. This Texas Longhorn team is simply smaller in the frontcourt, and lack any real depth at those positions. Against Illinois, Texas must hold its own in the paint. They can’t let Illinois dominate the rebounding battle, and they cannot afford to give up a ton of easy points inside. If the Longhorns can somehow turn this into a battle of the backcourts, their odds for upset are much better.

Although the Illini are more experienced, they can often be careless with the basketball. They are averaging nearly 15 turnovers per game, coughing it up on roughly 20% of their possessions. If Texas can force Illinois mistakes, it will fuel the transition game and lead to easy buckets. The Longhorns scored 41 points off of turnovers in their first two games; if they can continue that trend, it will certainly make this game interesting.

Finally, Texas must stay out of foul trouble. Illinois is already deeper than Texas, and the Longhorns are thinnest in the frontcourt. Thompson, Gary Johnson, and Hamilton cannot be sitting on the bench for extended periods of time with foul trouble if the Longhorns are to have any hopes of winning this game.

A final DVR note

Since tonight’s game is the second of the semifinals, there is almost no chance that tipoff is actually happening at 8 P.M. central. We’ve put our best guess in the header bar at the top of this preview, but make sure to leave a lot of extra recording time as you set your DVR, VHS, or Betamax.

Fresh off their season-opening victory over Navy, the Texas Longhorns return to the hardwood again tonight in their second opening round match-up of the 2K Sports Classic. This time out, Texas will tangle with an enigmatic Louisiana Tech team loaded with newcomers.

Meet the Bulldogs

It won’t just be Longhorn fans who are getting their first look at the Louisiana Tech team. Even Bulldog fans will see a lot of unfamiliar faces wearing their school’s red and blue.

Olu Ashaolu and DeAndre Brown are the only returning starters, and they chipped in a combined 21.3 points per game last season. The other four Bulldogs who were on last year’s roster managed just a combined 4.8 points per game. Louisiana Tech coach Kerry Rupp will be relying heavily on transfers and untested freshman this season, so the team could have quite a few miscues in their season opener tonight.

During Rupp’s first two years in Ruston, the Bulldogs played a dreadfully slow style of basketball. The coach was working with very untalented players and had to limit possessions to keep his squad in games. Despite the slowdown efforts, LaTech still only won 21 games in those two seasons — just six victories came in Rupp’s debut year — as the coach slowly rebuilt the program.

Last year, his system finally produced results. The Bulldogs won 24 games, finished 4th in the WAC, and qualified for the post-season CBI Tournament. Magnum Rolle, an LSU transfer, even landed in the NBA, where he’s now averaging about six minutes a night for the Indiana Pacers. The building blocks for success have clearly been laid on the Ruston campus. Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, though, the Longhorns are a little tougher than most WAC foes.

What we’re watching

As always, these early-season game previews don’t contain our “Keys to the Game,” but rather things to keep an eye on. With the Longhorns still forming their team identity in November and December, and the only true “key” to victory being the ability to show up on time, we find this is a much more valuable approach.

Tonight, we’re interested to see how the Texas half-court offense looks. Against Navy, the half-court offense was bogged down against the zone during the first 20 minutes. Once the Horns started to run the floor and the guards starting probing the Midshipmen’s D, things opened up and the points flowed freely.

Coach Barnes seems to be returning to the offenses of the Brad Buckman days, having his big men set interior screens instead of relying primarily on ball screens for the guards at the perimeter. With Tristan Thompson and Gary Johnson working hard down low, this is definitely a solid plan of attack. Still, it’s imperative that Thompson, Alexis Wangmene, and Matt Hill learn to react quicker to double-teams on the blocks.

Once again, we’ll have an eye on the backcourt rotation. All four guards split the minutes evenly against Navy, and with another easy win expected tonight, it might be more of the same. But with questions surrounding the roles of J’Covan Brown and Jai Lucas, it will be interesting to see how they fare tonight and how Barnes handles their substitutions.

Finally, we’ll be watching to see if Cory Joseph lights it up. On Monday night, he made quick moves with the basketball and looked confident on the court. Unfortunately, his shots weren’t falling as usual and he finished with just four points on 2-of-7 shooting. Joseph is known for being not just a point guard, but also a long-range marksman. It’s just a matter of time until he impresses Texas fans with a D.J. Augustine-like performance. Will tonight be his first time to burst into the spotlight?

Last-minute promos

With plenty of tickets still available, the Texas Box Office is offering $6 tickets for tonight’s game. Simply click that link, print out the coupon, and buy your end-zone mezzanine tickets for just six bucks.

I can hear you now. “End-zone mezzanine?!?” you’re screeching incredulously at your computer. Oh, don’t fret, dear readers. This is fall basketball in Austin, Texas. Even a mezzanine ticket is good for lower-level arena seating. Just pick your seats wisely, and take care to be polite if you get bounced from your first choice.

For those who can’t scrounge up 24 quarters from between their couch cushions, the game will once again be available on ESPNU and on the radio through the Longhorn Sports Network. (Check here for radio affiliates.)

After a season in which Texas fell from No. 1 in the nation to the depths of the unranked and suffered a first-round exit in the NCAA tournament, questions surrounded the team’s future. Just eight months later, most remain unanswered as we rapidly approach the tip-off of the 2010-11 season.

The graduation of seniors Damion James, Dexter Pittman, and Justin Mason left the team without experienced leadership and opened a gaping hole in the frontcourt. Avery Bradley‘s decision to enter the NBA Draft after his freshman year, coupled with the transfer of guard Varez Ward, means this Texas team could see a drop-off in its perimeter D. And with today’s stunning transfer announcement from redshirt freshman swingman Shawn Williams, the picture becomes even murkier.

We’ll get to an in-depth look at the team during the off-day tomorrow, but tonight we pose three questions as the season approaches. All deal with identity, as the 2010-11 Longhorn basketball team is as enigmatic as any Texas squad in recent memory.

1) Who will be the leader? – If Texas is looking for senior leadership this season, there’s very little experience to draw on. Only Gary Johnson and Dogus Balbay have seen significant playing time, and with the addition of freshman star Cory Joseph to the mix, Balbay may see a decline in minutes this year. It’s rare to find a vocal team leader who isn’t a key player.

Johnson may be the most-likely candidate, but there’s also hope that Jordan Hamilton or J’Covan Brown can mature into team leaders in their sophomore seasons. Hamilton starts the year on the Wooden Award’s Preseason Top 50 list, and certainly showed flashes of brilliance last season, such as his 27 and 24-point performances on the road against Oklahoma State and Missouri. Brown also had some standout moments in 2009-10, but has a reputation for losing his cool and for frustrating his head coach. Both players could definitely take the reins this year, but will have to overcome their proclivity for taking ill-advised shots.

Then, of course, there are the two star freshman. Both point guard Corey Joseph and forward Tristan Thompson were McDonald’s All-Americans, and both come to the 40 Acres with mountains of hype behind them. The transcendent freshman who can instantly lead his team is a rare thing, however — although each year there seems to be one or two in the nation with the NBA’s new age requirements. It’s believable that Joseph or Thompson could be the calm, confident leader of the Longhorns come March. But for the next few months, we expect a few growing pains.

2) How will the frontcourt come together? – Without James and Pittman, the Texas frontcourt is still a mystery. Thompson arrived in Austin with a reputation as a steady post defender who was developing his offensive game nicely during his senior year. In the tough Big 12, however, it’s difficult for a freshman big man to instantly make an impact, so it’s likely we see Thompson stay at his natural power forward position.

The result of that decision, though, is that Matt Hill, Alexis Wangmene, and Clint Chapman will have to pick up the slack at center. Combined, those three players averaged just 4.6 points and 4.3 rebounds in 17.5 minutes per game last season. Departed seniors James and Pittman, on the other hand, combined to average 28.4 points and 16.2 boards in 49.4 minutes. While Hill has impressed during summer workouts, to say these big men have their hands full could be the understatement of the year.

3) How deep is the bench? – At the start of last season, it was a commonly accepted fact that Texas’ biggest problem was finding minutes for all of their talented. Thanks to injuries and an inexplicable meltdown, that problem quickly disappeared. This season, it’s still unclear just how many Longhorns will be key contributors. Thompson, Brown, Hamilton, and Johnson will unquestionably be called upon for most of the minutes. And while it’s not yet known how Joseph and Balbay will split time at the point, both will certainly be key contributors.

The real mystery surrounds the role of bench players like guard Jai Lucas and big men Chapman, Hill, and Wangmene. Based on what we’ve seen in the past, none of those four players is ready for the spotlight. But at the same time, there’s no way Texas will survive with just a six-man rotation. Tonight we’ll be looking to see just how far down the bench Rick Barnes is willing to go, and just how often he calls on those reserves.

If you’re in the Austin area, come down to the Drum for the season opener tonight. There are still many tickets available, and packages for this game and Wednesday night’s contest against Louisiana Tech are available for as little as $10. For the out-of-town folks, ESPNU will be carrying the tip at 8 P.M., or as soon as Pitt and Rhode Island wrap up their season opener.

It’s been a tragic fall for the Texas Longhorns this year. From the school’s first No. 1 ranking back in January, to its nearly-unprecedented slide out of the Top 25, the journey to the bottom has been long and arduous. Texas lost nine of its last sixteen games this season, including a three-game sweep at the hands of the Baylor Bears, a team the Horns had beaten 24 consecutive times prior to March of 2009.

But all of that means nothing in the grand scheme of things. That’s because the champion of NCAA men’s basketball is crowned at the end of a tournament. A tournament that levels the playing field and makes the last three weekends of the year the most important of the entire season. From 16-seed Vermont to overall No. 1 seed Kansas, every team has championship dreams. All it takes is six straight wins.

While the chances are slim for the Longhorns to put together a run like that, there’s certainly no denying that this team has the talent to at least be in the conversation. So, for the most optimistic members of the burnt-orange faithful, this could be seen as the first step in a larger journey. It’s win-and-advance, time, my friends. And so, with that in mind, our keys to earning that win……and advancing.

1) Maintain composure – The Longhorns are facing a Wake Forest team that has an excellent defense, particularly on the interior. Big man Chas McFarland and sophomore center Tony Woods are well-disciplined post defenders who play tall without leaving their feet. The Longhorns will have a hard time scoring inside, especially if they are relying on whistles to bail them out on poorly-chosen shots inside.

In the past, Texas has often become frustrated against good interior defenses and settled for a ton of outside shots, most of which were misses. The Longhorns must attack the inside with dribble penetration and good ball movement, and can not simply wait on the perimeter. If Justin Mason, J’Covan Brown, and Jordan Hamilton can force the Wake defense to react, and then actually make the extra pass, things should open up inside. Settle for outside shots, however, and the Longhorns will be playing right into the hands of the Deacs.

2) Pressure the ball – Senior guard Ishmael “Ish” Smith is not an exceptionally quick guard, but he’s a guy who confuses defenses with his hesitation dribble. His strength lies in pull-up jumpers and floaters, which is especially bizarre when you consider that he’s just a 50% free-throw shooter. Smith isn’t a big guy who finishes strong at the rim, so if he manages to force his way inside, Texas must make him earn the points. In addition, he loves to leave the ball just hanging in the air on his hesitation moves, so if the Longhorns defense has active hands, it could equal extra possessions and points.

That extra pressure shouldn’t be exclusively applied to Smith, however, as Wake Forest turns it over on more than 21% of their possessions. If the Longhorns can force Wake Forest into mistakes, it not only limits the Deac’s opportunities to score, but it ties in nicely with our first key of the game. The best way to score against a well-coached defense is to get it in the bucket before they even set up. If Texas can get down the court and score in transition before Wake sets up the half-court D, it will greatly increase the chances of a Longhorn win.

3) Limit the boards – Wake’s offensive efficiency is in the top third of the nation, but their field goal percentage is near the bottom. The reason behind the disparity? Strong offensive rebounding allows the Demon Deacons a ton of extra possessions, which typically allows them miss a ton of easy looks before finally scoring on a tip. (Sound familiar, Texas fans?) If the Longhorns can secure the defensive rebounds, it will force Wake to be much, much more efficient with the basketball.

One final stat

As we head to the arena, here is one final stat to chew on during the night sessions. The Longhorns are one of just three teams in this year’s NCAA tournament to have won a first-round game in each of the last four seasons. When things get dicey tonight, as they likely will, keep that fact in mind. And if that stat doesn’t give you confidence, just watch this video of McFarland getting tackled by a Clemson student…

As always, you can follow our Twitter updates from the arena during tonight’s games. We’ll be back in the A.M. with a post-game…and hopefully a look ahead to a second-round opponent.